Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
| Rank | +/- | Team | WinPct | SoS | Adjusted | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Off. | Def. | Pace | |||||||||
| 1 | +1 | Florida St. ( 12 - 0 ) | 0.970 | 0.453 | 75 | 30.9 | 1 | 8.4 | 3 | 160.3 | 95 |
| 2 | -1 | Alabama ( 10 - 1 ) | 0.969 | 0.592 | 36 | 27.2 | 4 | 7.5 | 1 | 147.5 | 125 |
| 3 | -- | Michigan St. ( 11 - 1 ) | 0.902 | 0.535 | 59 | 17.9 | 51 | 7.8 | 2 | 159.3 | 101 |
| 4 | -- | Wisconsin ( 8 - 3 ) | 0.887 | 0.544 | 55 | 22.4 | 15 | 10.3 | 5 | 157.9 | 107 |
| 5 | +2 | Baylor ( 10 - 1 ) | 0.870 | 0.587 | 38 | 28.9 | 2 | 14.1 | 33 | 189.0 | 2 |
| 6 | -- | Ohio St. ( 11 - 1 ) | 0.864 | 0.541 | 57 | 28.1 | 3 | 14.1 | 32 | 165.6 | 77 |
| 7 | -2 | Oklahoma St. ( 9 - 2 ) | 0.858 | 0.608 | 30 | 24.5 | 10 | 12.5 | 15 | 183.2 | 7 |
| 8 | +1 | Stanford ( 11 - 2 ) | 0.856 | 0.612 | 26 | 21.8 | 18 | 11.2 | 7 | 154.9 | 119 |
| 9 | -1 | Louisville ( 10 - 1 ) | 0.851 | 0.398 | 88 | 21.0 | 28 | 10.9 | 6 | 155.4 | 118 |
| 10 | +1 | Auburn ( 11 - 1 ) | 0.848 | 0.694 | 4 | 26.5 | 6 | 13.9 | 26 | 169.5 | 54 |
| 11 | +3 | LSU ( 8 - 3 ) | 0.826 | 0.668 | 8 | 24.3 | 11 | 13.5 | 24 | 159.2 | 102 |
| 12 | +1 | Clemson ( 8 - 2 ) | 0.825 | 0.612 | 27 | 22.4 | 14 | 12.5 | 14 | 179.8 | 15 |
| 13 | +2 | Oregon ( 9 - 2 ) | 0.821 | 0.539 | 58 | 24.9 | 9 | 14.0 | 27 | 177.6 | 20 |
| 14 | -4 | Missouri ( 10 - 2 ) | 0.814 | 0.643 | 17 | 21.3 | 23 | 12.3 | 13 | 174.0 | 32 |
| 15 | +1 | Texas A&M ( 7 - 4 ) | 0.808 | 0.653 | 11 | 26.8 | 5 | 15.6 | 48 | 178.5 | 18 |
| 16 | -4 | Arizona St. ( 9 - 3 ) | 0.805 | 0.650 | 12 | 25.8 | 8 | 15.2 | 43 | 172.5 | 38 |
| 17 | -- | South Carolina ( 9 - 2 ) | 0.796 | 0.628 | 20 | 21.6 | 20 | 13.0 | 16 | 159.1 | 103 |
| 18 | +2 | Bowling Green ( 9 - 3 ) | 0.793 | 0.292 | 117 | 18.8 | 44 | 11.4 | 9 | 156.7 | 115 |
| 19 | +2 | Oklahoma ( 10 - 2 ) | 0.791 | 0.609 | 28 | 23.2 | 13 | 14.0 | 29 | 161.5 | 92 |
| 20 | -2 | Georgia ( 7 - 4 ) | 0.783 | 0.682 | 6 | 26.0 | 7 | 16.0 | 52 | 170.3 | 47 |
| 21 | -2 | Kansas St. ( 7 - 4 ) | 0.776 | 0.551 | 54 | 24.1 | 12 | 15.1 | 42 | 157.7 | 109 |
| 22 | -- | BYU ( 7 - 4 ) | 0.766 | 0.603 | 31 | 18.2 | 48 | 11.7 | 11 | 184.2 | 5 |
| 23 | +1 | Washington ( 7 - 4 ) | 0.759 | 0.574 | 46 | 21.0 | 27 | 13.7 | 25 | 174.0 | 33 |
| 24 | +1 | UCF ( 11 - 1 ) | 0.748 | 0.416 | 78 | 22.0 | 16 | 14.6 | 36 | 157.5 | 110 |
| 25 | -2 | Utah St. ( 7 - 5 ) | 0.744 | 0.413 | 81 | 15.4 | 79 | 10.3 | 4 | 169.0 | 60 |
New entries: none.
Dropped out: none.
For the first time since September 7, 2011, we have a new team atop the TFG rankings. That week, Ohio State blew out Arkon, 42-0, and took a slight lead over Alabama. The next week, however, the Buckeyes would win a close game against Toledo, while the Crimson Tide would defeat a solid Penn State squad. Alabama wouldn't look back, ran off a string of two BCS titles and complete domination. Even now the 2013 Crimson Tide squad would be better than any of the non-Alabama BCS champions of the last decade.
Florida State put an exclamation point on their season with a blowout of an overachieving Duke team. No one really expected Duke to win, but the Blue Devils managed to hang with the Seminoles for a quarter. The closest the Blue Devils got to FSU was with about 3 minutes left in the first quarter: the game was still tied at 0 and Duke started a drive from their own 27. It was all downhill from there. Duke's reward for getting beat by the likely 2013 BCS Champions and 2013 Heisman Award winner? Playing the 2012 Heisman Award winner in the Chik-fil-A Bowl. Sometimes life isn't fair, and sometimes life is Duke Blue Devil football unfair.
On paper the BCS title game isn't going to be much of a contest; Florida State's defense is almost as good as Alabama's (8.3 PPH vs 7.5), but their offense is currently the best in FBS. The same was said about the Iron Bowl, though, and Auburn found a way to win that in historic fashion.
The other BCS games are a mixed bag. (6) Ohio State's consolation prize is (12) Clemson, a team TFG thinks they should beat. (1) Alabama's consolation prize is to beat up on (19) Oklahoma; I imagine that one won't be pretty. Speaking of not pretty, (24) UCF is going to be fed to (5) Baylor; the Knights like to play slow to protect their second-tier defense, so look to Baylor to make a meal of them. I'm curious to see what happens when (3) Michigan State faces (8) Stanford. Both teams play a grind-it-out, defense-first style, so don't look for much glitz or style there. The Spartans are slight favorites, but Stanford will have plenty of time to prepare.
Once the full bowl schedules are released we'll get started on our previews, but until then enjoy Army-Navy.
Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.
0 comments:
Post a Comment